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      "depth": 1,
      "text": "学科17：历史学重要模型",
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      "text": "《定见未来》——约翰奈斯比特",
      "anchor": "定见未来约翰奈斯比特",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%AE%9A%E8%A7%81%E6%9C%AA%E6%9D%A5%E7%BA%A6%E7%BF%B0%E5%A5%88%E6%96%AF%E6%AF%94%E7%89%B9"
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      "text": "卡片采集知全局",
      "anchor": "卡片采集知全局",
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      "depth": 2,
      "text": "分久必合，合久必分",
      "anchor": "分久必合合久必分",
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      "text": "软约束的分合",
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      "depth": 2,
      "text": "动静循环",
      "anchor": "动静循环",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%8A%A8%E9%9D%99%E5%BE%AA%E7%8E%AF"
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      "depth": 2,
      "text": "文明对峙状态",
      "anchor": "文明对峙状态",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E5%AF%B9%E5%B3%99%E7%8A%B6%E6%80%81"
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      "depth": 3,
      "text": "军事边界",
      "anchor": "军事边界",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%86%9B%E4%BA%8B%E8%BE%B9%E7%95%8C"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "深度结盟",
      "anchor": "深度结盟",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%B7%B1%E5%BA%A6%E7%BB%93%E7%9B%9F"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "适度挑战模型",
      "anchor": "适度挑战模型",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E9%80%82%E5%BA%A6%E6%8C%91%E6%88%98%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "适度艰苦的挑战有利于一个文明的发展壮大",
      "anchor": "适度艰苦的挑战有利于一个文明的发展壮大",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E9%80%82%E5%BA%A6%E8%89%B0%E8%8B%A6%E7%9A%84%E6%8C%91%E6%88%98%E6%9C%89%E5%88%A9%E4%BA%8E%E4%B8%80%E4%B8%AA%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E7%9A%84%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E5%A3%AE%E5%A4%A7"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "黄河流域孕育文明",
      "anchor": "黄河流域孕育文明",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E9%BB%84%E6%B2%B3%E6%B5%81%E5%9F%9F%E5%AD%95%E8%82%B2%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "东南亚华人移民与欧美华人移民",
      "anchor": "东南亚华人移民与欧美华人移民",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%B8%9C%E5%8D%97%E4%BA%9A%E5%8D%8E%E4%BA%BA%E7%A7%BB%E6%B0%91%E4%B8%8E%E6%AC%A7%E7%BE%8E%E5%8D%8E%E4%BA%BA%E7%A7%BB%E6%B0%91"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "绝对安逸的环境常会让一个文明裹足不前甚至衰亡",
      "anchor": "绝对安逸的环境常会让一个文明裹足不前甚至衰亡",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E7%BB%9D%E5%AF%B9%E5%AE%89%E9%80%B8%E7%9A%84%E7%8E%AF%E5%A2%83%E5%B8%B8%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A9%E4%B8%80%E4%B8%AA%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E8%A3%B9%E8%B6%B3%E4%B8%8D%E5%89%8D%E7%94%9A%E8%87%B3%E8%A1%B0%E4%BA%A1"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "中东地区资源丰富却面临资源诅咒",
      "anchor": "中东地区资源丰富却面临资源诅咒",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%B8%AD%E4%B8%9C%E5%9C%B0%E5%8C%BA%E8%B5%84%E6%BA%90%E4%B8%B0%E5%AF%8C%E5%8D%B4%E9%9D%A2%E4%B8%B4%E8%B5%84%E6%BA%90%E8%AF%85%E5%92%92"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "中国东北地区土地肥沃却勤劳缺失",
      "anchor": "中国东北地区土地肥沃却勤劳缺失",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E4%B8%9C%E5%8C%97%E5%9C%B0%E5%8C%BA%E5%9C%9F%E5%9C%B0%E8%82%A5%E6%B2%83%E5%8D%B4%E5%8B%A4%E5%8A%B3%E7%BC%BA%E5%A4%B1"
    },
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      "depth": 2,
      "text": "受伤愈合模型",
      "anchor": "受伤愈合模型",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%8F%97%E4%BC%A4%E6%84%88%E5%90%88%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B"
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      "depth": 3,
      "text": "《反脆弱》",
      "anchor": "反脆弱",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%8F%8D%E8%84%86%E5%BC%B1"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "学科链接",
      "anchor": "学科链接",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%AD%A6%E7%A7%91%E9%93%BE%E6%8E%A5"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "压力产能模型",
      "anchor": "压力产能模型",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%8E%8B%E5%8A%9B%E4%BA%A7%E8%83%BD%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "耶克斯道森法则",
      "anchor": "耶克斯道森法则",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E8%80%B6%E5%85%8B%E6%96%AF%E9%81%93%E6%A3%AE%E6%B3%95%E5%88%99"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "竞争与选择模型",
      "anchor": "竞争与选择模型",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E7%AB%9E%E4%BA%89%E4%B8%8E%E9%80%89%E6%8B%A9%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "《历史的教训》——威尔.杜兰特",
      "anchor": "历史的教训威尔杜兰特",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%8E%86%E5%8F%B2%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%AE%AD%E5%A8%81%E5%B0%94%E6%9D%9C%E5%85%B0%E7%89%B9"
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      "depth": 2,
      "text": "生命即竞争",
      "anchor": "生命即竞争",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E7%94%9F%E5%91%BD%E5%8D%B3%E7%AB%9E%E4%BA%89"
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    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "为什么竞争比合作更底层更稳定？",
      "anchor": "为什么竞争比合作更底层更稳定",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%B8%BA%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88%E7%AB%9E%E4%BA%89%E6%AF%94%E5%90%88%E4%BD%9C%E6%9B%B4%E5%BA%95%E5%B1%82%E6%9B%B4%E7%A8%B3%E5%AE%9A"
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    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "恐惧>渴望",
      "anchor": "恐惧渴望",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%81%90%E6%83%A7%E6%B8%B4%E6%9C%9B"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "差异才是自然的底色，公平并不是",
      "anchor": "差异才是自然的底色公平并不是",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%B7%AE%E5%BC%82%E6%89%8D%E6%98%AF%E8%87%AA%E7%84%B6%E7%9A%84%E5%BA%95%E8%89%B2%E5%85%AC%E5%B9%B3%E5%B9%B6%E4%B8%8D%E6%98%AF"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "极度自由的制度趋向于社会达尔文主义",
      "anchor": "极度自由的制度趋向于社会达尔文主义",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%9E%81%E5%BA%A6%E8%87%AA%E7%94%B1%E7%9A%84%E5%88%B6%E5%BA%A6%E8%B6%8B%E5%90%91%E4%BA%8E%E7%A4%BE%E4%BC%9A%E8%BE%BE%E5%B0%94%E6%96%87%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "人与机器的竞争",
      "anchor": "人与机器的竞争",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%BA%BA%E4%B8%8E%E6%9C%BA%E5%99%A8%E7%9A%84%E7%AB%9E%E4%BA%89"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "人工智能的威胁",
      "anchor": "人工智能的威胁",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E7%9A%84%E5%A8%81%E8%83%81"
    },
    {
      "depth": 3,
      "text": "《今日简史》",
      "anchor": "今日简史",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%BB%8A%E6%97%A5%E7%AE%80%E5%8F%B2"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "技术是文明发展的结果",
      "anchor": "技术是文明发展的结果",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%8A%80%E6%9C%AF%E6%98%AF%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E7%9A%84%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%9C"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "先进文明孕育先进技术",
      "anchor": "先进文明孕育先进技术",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%85%88%E8%BF%9B%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E5%AD%95%E8%82%B2%E5%85%88%E8%BF%9B%E6%8A%80%E6%9C%AF"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "蒸汽机、灯泡、电话",
      "anchor": "蒸汽机灯泡电话",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E8%92%B8%E6%B1%BD%E6%9C%BA%E7%81%AF%E6%B3%A1%E7%94%B5%E8%AF%9D"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "《创新神话》",
      "anchor": "创新神话",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E5%88%9B%E6%96%B0%E7%A5%9E%E8%AF%9D"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "未来主义&复古主义",
      "anchor": "未来主义复古主义",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E6%9C%AA%E6%9D%A5%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89%E5%A4%8D%E5%8F%A4%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "过度未来主义",
      "anchor": "过度未来主义",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E8%BF%87%E5%BA%A6%E6%9C%AA%E6%9D%A5%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89"
    },
    {
      "depth": 2,
      "text": "不急转弯",
      "anchor": "不急转弯",
      "citation": "https://www.pystone.net/notes/mental-models-17-history/#%E4%B8%8D%E6%80%A5%E8%BD%AC%E5%BC%AF"
    }
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      "atlas": "https://www.pystone.net/?node=courses-books-general-knowledge#knowledge-atlas",
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  "contentMarkdown": "学科17：历史学重要模型\n\n![](assets/16437712826061_Copy_1.png)\n\n# 学科17：历史学重要模型\n\n> [!note] 林超通识课课程笔记\n> 本文整理自《林超通识课》，其中观点归属于课程讲述，不自动代表本站当前结论；涉及财务、心理、健康或人生决策时，应结合可靠来源、反例和个人条件复核。\n![](assets/16437715731002_Copy_2.png)\n\n## 《定见未来》——约翰奈斯比特\n\n![](assets/16437715533051_Copy_1.png)\n\n## 卡片采集知全局\n\n![](assets/16437716457863_Copy_3.png)\n\n## 分久必合，合久必分\n\n![](assets/16437717985424_Copy_4.png)\n\n## 软约束的分合\n\n![](assets/16437719359515_Copy_5.png)\n\n## 动静循环\n\n![](assets/16437720702236_Copy_6.png)\n\n## 文明对峙状态\n\n### 军事边界\n\n### 深度结盟\n\n## 适度挑战模型\n\n![](assets/16437722677097_Copy_7.png)\n\n## 适度艰苦的挑战有利于一个文明的发展壮大\n\n### 黄河流域孕育文明\n\n### 东南亚华人移民与欧美华人移民\n\n## 绝对安逸的环境常会让一个文明裹足不前甚至衰亡\n\n温柔乡就是英雄冢\n\n### 中东地区资源丰富却面临资源诅咒\n\n### 中国东北地区土地肥沃却勤劳缺失\n\n## 受伤愈合模型\n\n![](assets/164377272901211_Copy_11.png)\n\n### 《反脆弱》\n\n![](assets/164377267984110_Copy_10.png)\n\n## 学科链接\n\n### 压力产能模型\n\n![](assets/16437725754678_Copy_8.png)\n\n### 耶克斯道森法则\n\n![](assets/16437726150819_Copy_9.png)\n\n## 竞争与选择模型\n\n![](assets/164377290117213_Copy_13.png)\n\n## 《历史的教训》——威尔.杜兰特\n\n![](assets/164377287315512_Copy_12.png)\n\n## 生命即竞争\n\n![](assets/164377294556514_Copy_14.png)\n\n## 为什么竞争比合作更底层更稳定？\n\n![](assets/164377305174915_Copy_15.png)\n\n### 恐惧>渴望\n\n![](assets/164377310185516_Copy_16.png)\n![](assets/164377313797017_Copy_17.png)\n![](assets/164377317992918_Copy_18.png)\n\n### 差异才是自然的底色，公平并不是\n\n### 极度自由的制度趋向于社会达尔文主义\n\n![](assets/164377329721319_Copy_19.png)\n\n## 人与机器的竞争\n\n### 人工智能的威胁\n\n![](assets/164377339935920_Copy_20.png)\n\n### 《今日简史》\n\n## 技术是文明发展的结果\n\n## 先进文明孕育先进技术\n\n## 蒸汽机、灯泡、电话\n\n## 《创新神话》\n\n![](assets/164377357173621_Copy_21.png)\n\n## 未来主义&复古主义\n\n![](assets/164377399356722_Copy_22.png)\n\n## 过度未来主义\n\n美国科学发展策略、无尽前沿策略；秦始皇全面法家；太平天国过度先进；俄罗斯休克疗法；大跃进\n\n## 不急转弯\n\n![](assets/164377413622623_Copy_23.png)\n![](assets/164377416223524_Copy_24.png)\n"
}
